The GDP deflator is a broad measure of price inflation within an economy associated with domestic production. It approximates the changing cost of buying all of an economy's production based on the prices producers charge.
For instance, according to The World Bank's database, the global GDP deflator reached about 170 in 2019, up from roughly 150 in 2010. It implies a nearly 13% surge in inflation in ten years.
The concept of the GDP deflator emerged amid the development of national income accounting during the 1940s. It is an important tool employed universally by economists and policymakers to compare the welfare effect of growth after stripping away inflationary effects.
The GDP deflator serves a crucial function in assessing the price level of domestically produced output in an economy. It is usually used for:
GDP deflator carries a profound impact on investment decisions. A rising GDP deflator, implying inflation, could make future investments less attractive due to higher borrowing and operational costs. In contrast, a falling GDP deflator might signal a recession, affecting investor sentiment.
In the advent of advanced analytics and big data technologies, real-time tracking of GDP deflator is becoming progressively feasible. Granular data can help gain a better perspective of inflation, shaping more informed fiscal and monetary policy decisions.
| Year | GDP Deflator (Global, Index, Year 2010 = 100) |
|---|---|
| 2010 | 100 |
| 2015 | 132 |
| 2019 | 170 |
In conclusion, the GDP deflator is an essential tool that underscores the level of price changes in an economy's production. It provides vital clues about the health of an economy and thus, can significantly influence investment decision-making.