The return of Bitcoin above the $90,000 level is also accompanied by a level of derivatives trading that is indicative of renewed risk appetite among traders speculating on the possibility of a year-end rally.
According to Glassnode, a company that does on-chain analysis, the open interest for perpetual futures markets across all exchanges has shown an increase from 304,000 BTC to 310,000 BTC, registering a 2% increase while markets rallied. This shows that funding rates have accelerated sharply.
The rising open interest on a perpetual market indicates that new positions are being opened, rather than merely being rebalanced. Historically, rising open interest during price recoveries has typically signified new capital entering the market, which has contributed to increased price volatility in the short term.
As Bitcoin moves to reclaim levels above $90K, the rise in open interest suggests that market participants are becoming more confident about the prospects for gains, especially with the end of the year approaching.
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The Glassnode data also reflects that Funding Rate increased from 0.04% to 0.09%, which is indicative of a rising skew in favor of long positions. As a result of a high Funding Rate, long positions are paying a high cost to roll over their position, which is a bearish indicator in This Market.
Such conditions may support further upside momentum, but they will pose a risk of sharp reversals if the prices start to work in the opposite way.
The fact that open interest is increasing while funding rates accelerate indicates that perpetual markets are positioning for the year-end move. This pattern follows the conventional trend since leverage increases when strong rallies happen at the end of the cycle.
Nevertheless, analysts warn that a persistent rise in leverage can lead to increased price volatility in markets, especially in the face of a possible macro or liquidity shock.
Though the breakout above $90K has rekindled positive sentiment, the increasing use of leverage is a source of risk. Whether this trend mobilizes a breakout or fuels higher volatility will be determined by the intensity of spot market demand that emerges over the coming days.
For the time being, the data in the derivatives market indicates a market trending to the bulls, but on a tightrope between momentum and overexposure.
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