The post AVAX Holds Above $12 as JPMorgan Crypto Entry Signals Institutional Shift appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rongchai Wang Dec 26, 2025 17:36 AvalancheThe post AVAX Holds Above $12 as JPMorgan Crypto Entry Signals Institutional Shift appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. Rongchai Wang Dec 26, 2025 17:36 Avalanche

AVAX Holds Above $12 as JPMorgan Crypto Entry Signals Institutional Shift



Rongchai Wang
Dec 26, 2025 17:36

Avalanche price trades at $12.28 amid subdued market conditions while JPMorgan’s potential crypto trading launch for institutions could boost AVAX adoption prospects.

Quick Take

• AVAX trading at $12.28 (down 1.0% in 24h)
• JPMorgan considering institutional crypto trading services marks major adoption milestone
• Price testing support above psychological $12 level with neutral momentum
• Following broader crypto market weakness as Bitcoin retreats from recent highs

Market Events Driving Avalanche Price Movement

The most significant development affecting AVAX price this week comes from traditional finance, as JPMorgan Chase reportedly considers offering cryptocurrency trading services to institutional clients. This represents a dramatic shift from CEO Jamie Dimon’s historically critical stance on digital assets and signals growing mainstream financial acceptance that could benefit platforms like Avalanche.

While no AVAX-specific catalysts emerged in the past 48 hours, the token has been trading on broader market technicals amid subdued holiday conditions. U.S. stocks hovering near record highs with the S&P 500 gaining less than 0.1% today reflects the cautious sentiment across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

The precious metals surge, with silver jumping 4.5% and gold rising 1.1% due to economic uncertainties and Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, indicates underlying market nervousness that has kept crypto investors on the sidelines.

AVAX Technical Analysis: Consolidation Below Key Resistance

Price Action Context

AVAX price currently trades below all major moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $12.71 serving as immediate resistance. The token remains significantly below its 200-day moving average of $20.99, indicating the longer-term downtrend remains intact. Trading volume of $31 million on Binance spot reflects moderate institutional interest during the holiday period.

The current price action shows AVAX following Bitcoin’s broader weakness, though it has maintained support above the psychological $12 level. This consolidation pattern suggests accumulation may be occurring ahead of potential year-end positioning.

Key Technical Indicators

The daily RSI of 41.85 sits in neutral territory, providing room for movement in either direction without being oversold or overbought. The MACD histogram shows a bullish divergence at 0.0853, suggesting potential upward momentum building despite the negative MACD reading of -0.6221.

Avalanche’s position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.3642 indicates the token is trading in the lower portion of its recent range, with room to move toward the upper band at $14.31.

Critical Price Levels for Avalanche Traders

Immediate Levels (24-48 hours)

• Resistance: $12.71 (20-day moving average confluence)
• Support: $11.26 (immediate support and strong support convergence)

Breakout/Breakdown Scenarios

A break below $11.26 could trigger selling toward the 52-week low of $11.44, while a decisive move above $12.71 resistance opens the path toward $14.83. The narrow support range suggests heightened volatility potential if current levels fail to hold.

AVAX Correlation Analysis

Bitcoin’s recent decline has pressured AVAX price, though the correlation remains moderate as Avalanche maintains its relative strength above key support. Traditional markets showing mixed signals with stocks at highs but precious metals surging creates an uncertain backdrop for risk assets.

The JPMorgan development could decouple AVAX from broader crypto weakness if institutional demand materializes, particularly given Avalanche’s focus on enterprise blockchain solutions and subnet technology.

Trading Outlook: Avalanche Near-Term Prospects

Bullish Case

A sustained break above $12.71 resistance with increasing volume could target the immediate resistance at $14.83. Institutional adoption news flow following JPMorgan’s potential entry could provide fundamental support for higher prices heading into 2026.

Bearish Case

Failure to hold $11.26 support would likely trigger technical selling toward the 52-week low near $11.44. Continued Bitcoin weakness and risk-off sentiment in traditional markets pose downside risks to AVAX price.

Risk Management

Conservative traders should consider stops below $11.20 to limit downside exposure, while position sizing should account for the daily ATR of $0.75 indicating continued elevated volatility in Avalanche technical analysis patterns.

Image source: Shutterstock

Source: https://blockchain.news/news/20251226-avax-holds-above-12-as-jpmorgan-crypto-entry-signals-institutional

Market Opportunity
Avalanche Logo
Avalanche Price(AVAX)
$12.61
$12.61$12.61
+0.39%
USD
Avalanche (AVAX) Live Price Chart
Disclaimer: The articles reposted on this site are sourced from public platforms and are provided for informational purposes only. They do not necessarily reflect the views of MEXC. All rights remain with the original authors. If you believe any content infringes on third-party rights, please contact service@support.mexc.com for removal. MEXC makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the content and is not responsible for any actions taken based on the information provided. The content does not constitute financial, legal, or other professional advice, nor should it be considered a recommendation or endorsement by MEXC.

You May Also Like

Satoshi-Era Mt. Gox’s 1,000 Bitcoin Wallet Suddenly Reactivated

Satoshi-Era Mt. Gox’s 1,000 Bitcoin Wallet Suddenly Reactivated

The post Satoshi-Era Mt. Gox’s 1,000 Bitcoin Wallet Suddenly Reactivated appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com. X account @SaniExp, which belongs to the founder of the Timechain Index explorer, has published data showing that a dormant BTC wallet was activated after hibernating for six years. However, it was set up 13 years ago, according to the tweet — the time when Satoshi Nakamoto’s shadow was still casting itself around, so to speak. The X post states that the tweet belongs to infamous early Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox, which suffered from a major hack in the early 2010s, and last year it began paying out compensation to clients who lost their crypto in that hack. The deadline was eventually extended to October 2025. Mt. Gox’s wallet with 1,000 BTC reactivated The above-mentioned data source shared a screenshot from the Timechain Index explorer, showing multiple transactions marked as confirmed and moving a total of 1,000 Bitcoins. This amount of crypto is valued at $116,195,100 at the time of the initiated transaction. Last year, Mt. Gox began to move the remains of its gargantuan funds to pay out compensations to its creditors. Earlier this year, it also made several massive transactions to partner exchanges to distribute funds to Mt. Gox investors. All of the compensations were promised to be paid out by Oct. 31, 2025. The aforementioned transaction is likely preparation for another payout. The exchange was hacked for several years due to multiple unnoticed security breaches, and in 2014, when the site went offline, 744,408 Bitcoins were reported stolen. Source: https://u.today/satoshi-era-mtgoxs-1000-bitcoin-wallet-suddenly-reactivated
Share
BitcoinEthereumNews2025/09/18 10:18
Bank of China Launches Cross-Border Digital RMB Payments in Laos

Bank of China Launches Cross-Border Digital RMB Payments in Laos

Bank of China completes first cross-border digital RMB payment in Laos, marking a key milestone in digital currency use.
Share
coinlineup2025/12/28 04:58
Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94%

BitcoinWorld Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% The financial world is buzzing with a significant development: the probability of a Fed rate cut in October has just seen a dramatic increase. This isn’t just a minor shift; it’s a monumental change that could ripple through global markets, including the dynamic cryptocurrency space. For anyone tracking economic indicators and their impact on investments, this update from the U.S. interest rate futures market is absolutely crucial. What Just Happened? Unpacking the FOMC Statement’s Impact Following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement, market sentiment has decisively shifted. Before the announcement, the U.S. interest rate futures market had priced in a 71.6% chance of an October rate cut. However, after the statement, this figure surged to an astounding 94%. This jump indicates that traders and analysts are now overwhelmingly confident that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next month. Such a high probability suggests a strong consensus emerging from the Fed’s latest communications and economic outlook. A Fed rate cut typically means cheaper borrowing costs for businesses and consumers, which can stimulate economic activity. But what does this really signify for investors, especially those in the digital asset realm? Why is a Fed Rate Cut So Significant for Markets? When the Federal Reserve adjusts interest rates, it sends powerful signals across the entire financial ecosystem. A rate cut generally implies a more accommodative monetary policy, often enacted to boost economic growth or combat deflationary pressures. Impact on Traditional Markets: Stocks: Lower interest rates can make borrowing cheaper for companies, potentially boosting earnings and making stocks more attractive compared to bonds. Bonds: Existing bonds with higher yields might become more valuable, but new bonds will likely offer lower returns. Dollar Strength: A rate cut can weaken the U.S. dollar, making exports cheaper and potentially benefiting multinational corporations. Potential for Cryptocurrency Markets: The cryptocurrency market, while often seen as uncorrelated, can still react significantly to macro-economic shifts. A Fed rate cut could be interpreted as: Increased Risk Appetite: With traditional investments offering lower returns, investors might seek higher-yielding or more volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. Inflation Hedge Narrative: If rate cuts are perceived as a precursor to inflation, assets like Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” could gain traction as an inflation hedge. Liquidity Influx: A more accommodative monetary environment generally means more liquidity in the financial system, some of which could flow into digital assets. Looking Ahead: What Could This Mean for Your Portfolio? While the 94% probability for a Fed rate cut in October is compelling, it’s essential to consider the nuances. Market probabilities can shift, and the Fed’s ultimate decision will depend on incoming economic data. Actionable Insights: Stay Informed: Continue to monitor economic reports, inflation data, and future Fed statements. Diversify: A diversified portfolio can help mitigate risks associated with sudden market shifts. Assess Risk Tolerance: Understand how a potential rate cut might affect your specific investments and adjust your strategy accordingly. This increased likelihood of a Fed rate cut presents both opportunities and challenges. It underscores the interconnectedness of traditional finance and the emerging digital asset space. Investors should remain vigilant and prepared for potential volatility. The financial landscape is always evolving, and the significant surge in the probability of an October Fed rate cut is a clear signal of impending change. From stimulating economic growth to potentially fueling interest in digital assets, the implications are vast. Staying informed and strategically positioned will be key as we approach this crucial decision point. The market is now almost certain of a rate cut, and understanding its potential ripple effects is paramount for every investor. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)? A1: The FOMC is the monetary policymaking body of the Federal Reserve System. It sets the federal funds rate, which influences other interest rates and economic conditions. Q2: How does a Fed rate cut impact the U.S. dollar? A2: A rate cut typically makes the U.S. dollar less attractive to foreign investors seeking higher returns, potentially leading to a weakening of the dollar against other currencies. Q3: Why might a Fed rate cut be good for cryptocurrency? A3: Lower interest rates can reduce the appeal of traditional investments, encouraging investors to seek higher returns in alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. It can also be seen as a sign of increased liquidity or potential inflation, benefiting assets like Bitcoin. Q4: Is a 94% probability a guarantee of a rate cut? A4: While a 94% probability is very high, it is not a guarantee. Market probabilities reflect current sentiment and data, but the Federal Reserve’s final decision will depend on all available economic information leading up to their meeting. Q5: What should investors do in response to this news? A5: Investors should stay informed about economic developments, review their portfolio diversification, and assess their risk tolerance. Consider how potential changes in interest rates might affect different asset classes and adjust strategies as needed. Did you find this analysis helpful? Share this article with your network to keep others informed about the potential impact of the upcoming Fed rate cut and its implications for the financial markets! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action. This post Crucial Fed Rate Cut: October Probability Surges to 94% first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Share
Coinstats2025/09/18 02:25