RAY Technical Analysis Jan 25

RAY closed the day with a slight decline at $1.01, while the short-term downtrend continues. $0.9954 is critical in nearby supports; on breakdown, $0.9770 could be tested. Bullish momentum is expected above the $1.0279 resistance.

Short-Term Market Outlook

RAY is trading at $1.01 as of January 25, 2026, having experienced a 0.89% decline in the last 24 hours. The daily range was $0.99-$1.03, with volume preceding at $665,592. The short-term outlook is bearish; the price continues to stay below EMA20 ($1.02). The Supertrend indicator gives a bearish signal and points to the $1.08 resistance. RSI at 42.78 is in the neutral zone, but although the MACD histogram shows positive momentum, the overall trend is downward. Holding or breakdown scenarios in nearby supports are prominent for the next 24-48 hours. In multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis, 8 strong levels were identified across 1D, 3D, and 1W timeframes: 3 supports/2 resistances on 1D, 1 support on 3D, 1 support/3 resistances on 1W. These levels form critical watch points for intraday and swing traders. The consolidation around $1.01 has prepared the ground for a quick breakout or breakdown. With low volume, volatility could be high in sudden moves. As a risk manager, place your stop-losses at nearby levels and limit position sizes to 1-2% risk.

Intraday Critical Levels

Nearby Support Zones

Current support zone at $0.9954 (score: 61/100), this is the first test point for intraday holding. On breakdown, $0.9770 (score: 61/100) immediately below comes into play; this level could open the path to the downside target of $0.9191 (score: 24) within 24 hours. These supports can be used as tight zones for scalping, with invalidation on a close above $1.0149.

Nearby Resistance Zones

First resistance at $1.0149 (score: 60/100), followed by critical $1.0279 (score: 73/100). A close above this level has the potential to reverse the momentum. Upper targets $1.0750 (score: 66/100) and $1.0851 (score: 16). Since Supertrend shows $1.08 resistance, expect profit-taking on approach. Resistance breakdown invalidation below $0.9954.

Momentum and Pace Analysis

Short-term momentum is mixed: RSI 42.78 neutral, close to oversold but no bottom signal yet. MACD histogram bullish, but signal line negative; this may indicate fading momentum. Supertrend bearish, price below EMA20 maintains bearish bias. Volume low, so rapid moves are triggered by sudden volume spikes. On the 4-hour chart, moving within a downtrend channel; lower channel $0.99, upper $1.03. For scalpers, $1.01 area scalping zone: long on $0.9954 bounce, short on $1.0279 rejection. Risk: Volatility can move 2-3% in false breakouts, tight stops essential.

Short-Term Scenarios

Upside Scenario

Intraday close above $1.0149 and $1.0279 activates bullish: Targets $1.0750-$1.0851. Trigger: BTC above $89,276 and volume increase. Invalidation below $0.9954. In this scenario, crossing EMA20 ($1.02) accelerates momentum. Probability 40%, based on MACD positive histogram.

Downside Scenario

Break below $0.9954 accelerates bearish: Targets $0.9770 and $0.9191. Trigger: BTC below $88,989. Invalidation above $1.0279. Supertrend bearish and downtrend supported, probability 60%. Ideal for scalp shorts, but risk of fakeout in low-volume decline.

Bitcoin Correlation

BTC sideways at $88,885, with -1.11% decline in 24h. BTC Supertrend bearish, cautious for altcoins: RAY highly correlated with BTC (0.85+%). BTC supports $88,989-$87,635-$86,420 breakdown triggers RAY $0.9770 test. BTC resistance above $89,276 supports RAY $1.0279 breakout. If BTC dominance rises (currently stable), RAY remains under pressure. Key BTC levels: Support $88,989 (linked to RAY $0.9954), resistance $89,276 (RAY $1.0279 trigger).

Daily Summary and Watch Points

Today’s focus: $0.9954 support test and $1.0279 resistance rejection. Wait for volume increase for breakout. Risk: High volatility in short-term trades, apply 1% risk rule. No news, stay technical-focused. Links for RAY Spot Analysis and RAY Futures Analysis. Watch: BTC $88,989, RAY $1.01 pivot. Reduce position size in sharp moves.