XRP Consolidates After Selloff as Market Conviction Fades

• XRP trades below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling ongoing short-term bearish momentum.
• Critical support lies at $1.42, with breakdowns risking $1.36 and $1.12 levels.
• Derivatives and spot flows show caution, highlighting reduced leverage and weak demand.

XRP remains under pressure as short-term charts signal continued weakness despite steady corporate messaging from Ripple. Price action on the four-hour timeframe shows sellers still control momentum. 

Hence, traders continue to focus on support behavior rather than upside expansion. Market data suggests XRP now trades in a caution-driven environment shaped by technical limits and restrained demand.

Short-Term Structure Keeps Bears in Control

XRP continues to trend lower after failing near the $2.40–$2.30 region earlier this year. Significantly, price stays below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming ongoing downside structure. The rebound from the $1.12 February low lacked follow-through. Consequently, traders view the move as corrective rather than a reversal.

Support at $1.42 remains critical in the near term. However, a loss of this level would expose $1.36 quickly. Moreover, a breakdown below $1.12 could trigger accelerated pressure toward the $1.00 area. 

On the upside, $1.53 stands as immediate resistance. Additionally, sellers previously defended the $1.62 Fibonacci level aggressively. A move above $1.77 would mark the first structural improvement. However, broader recovery likely requires reclaiming $1.92.

ADX readings near 17 reinforce the lack of trend strength. However, price location below the cloud keeps downside risk dominant.

Derivatives and Spot Flows Signal Caution

XRP derivatives data reflects a completed leverage cycle. Open interest expanded sharply in late Q4 as price surged. Subsequently, declining open interest followed rising volatility. Hence, forced liquidations and position closures reduced speculative exposure. Despite occasional price stability, leverage conviction continued to fade.

Recently, open interest stabilized at lower levels. This shift suggests leverage excess has cleared. Consequently, the market now favors consolidation rather than aggressive directional bets.

Spot flow data supports this cautious tone. Net outflows dominated recent months, indicating ongoing distribution pressure. Moreover, red flow sessions intensified during price declines. Brief inflow spikes appeared occasionally. However, they failed to alter the broader trend. Hence, spot demand remains limited, reinforcing the bearish structure.

Ripple Reaffirms XRP Role in Institutional Strategy

Meanwhile, Ripple continues to emphasize XRP’s role within its payments strategy. CEO Brad Garlinghouse addressed community concerns around product focus. He stressed XRP remains central to institutional settlement design. Additionally, Ripple developers outlined XRP as the primary bridge asset for on-chain liquidity.

This positioning aligns with Ripple’s broader compliance and infrastructure goals. Moreover, it supports long-term utility narratives despite near-term price weakness. However, markets currently prioritize technical signals over strategic messaging.

Technical Outlook for XRP Price

Key levels remain clearly defined as XRP trades through a fragile short-term structure. 

Upside levels to monitor include $1.53 as the first hurdle, followed by $1.62 near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. A stronger breakout could open the path toward $1.77 and, subsequently, $1.92, which marks the 0.618 Fibonacci level and a broader trend recovery zone. 

On the downside, $1.42 acts as immediate support. A loss of this level would shift focus to $1.36, with $1.12 standing as the February swing low and last major defense before $1.00.

The technical picture suggests XRP remains below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a bearish bias and weak momentum. Price action points to consolidation risk rather than an immediate reversal. 

Will XRP Go Up? 

XRP’s near-term direction hinges on whether buyers can defend $1.42 and reclaim the $1.53–$1.62 resistance cluster. A sustained move above $1.77 would signal improving structure and renewed upside momentum. 

However, failure to hold $1.42 risks renewed selling pressure toward $1.36 and $1.12. For now, XRP remains at a pivotal zone, with technical compression and cautious flows setting the stage for heightened volatility ahead.