On-chain analytics firm Santiment has explained how Bitcoin could currently be undervalued based on its 4-year correlation to Gold and S&P 500. Bitcoin Has Underperformed Against Gold & S&P 500 Recently In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed about BTC’s recent trend relative to Gold and S&P 500. Historically, the cryptocurrency has shown some degree of correlation to these assets, but the pattern has shifted lately. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Demand Growing For First Time Since Early October: CryptoQuant Head Any two given assets are said to be “correlated” when one of them reacts to movements in the other by showing volatility of its own. As the chart shared by Santiment shows, Bitcoin has diverged from the traditional assets during the last few months. From the graph, it’s visible that Bitcoin has overall gone down 15% since August 11th. In the same window, the S&P 500 and Gold are up 7% and 21%, respectively. Gold has been the clear winner, but the S&P 500 has also at least managed a profit. The same is clearly not true for the number one cryptocurrency, which has gone the opposite way. The different trajectories of the assets would imply that they are no longer correlated or only have a negative correlation. Based on the fact that Bitcoin has shown tight correlation to the two over the last four years, however, the analytics firm has said, “BTC is arguably being undervalued.” It now remains to be seen whether the cryptocurrency’s price will eventually close the gap to the others. In some other news, BTC is trading between two key on-chain price levels right now, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post. The levels in question are part of the Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, which maps out various Bitcoin price levels according to the percentage of the supply that will be in profit if BTC were to trade at them. Bitcoin broke above the 0.95 quantile during its rally to the new all-time high (ATH), meaning more than 95% of the supply entered into a state of unrealized gain. With the drawdown that the coin has faced since then, its price has slipped not just under this level, but also the 0.85 quantile, corresponding to supply profitability of 85%. Related Reading: XRP To $10? Analyst Reveals What Could Be The Spark This level, currently situated at $108,500, could act as a barrier preventing upward breaks. In the down direction, the 0.75 quantile is present as a cushion around $100,600. “These levels have historically acted as support and resistance, with a break of either likely to define the next directional trend,” explained Glassnode. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $105,000, up 2.5% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.comOn-chain analytics firm Santiment has explained how Bitcoin could currently be undervalued based on its 4-year correlation to Gold and S&P 500. Bitcoin Has Underperformed Against Gold & S&P 500 Recently In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed about BTC’s recent trend relative to Gold and S&P 500. Historically, the cryptocurrency has shown some degree of correlation to these assets, but the pattern has shifted lately. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Demand Growing For First Time Since Early October: CryptoQuant Head Any two given assets are said to be “correlated” when one of them reacts to movements in the other by showing volatility of its own. As the chart shared by Santiment shows, Bitcoin has diverged from the traditional assets during the last few months. From the graph, it’s visible that Bitcoin has overall gone down 15% since August 11th. In the same window, the S&P 500 and Gold are up 7% and 21%, respectively. Gold has been the clear winner, but the S&P 500 has also at least managed a profit. The same is clearly not true for the number one cryptocurrency, which has gone the opposite way. The different trajectories of the assets would imply that they are no longer correlated or only have a negative correlation. Based on the fact that Bitcoin has shown tight correlation to the two over the last four years, however, the analytics firm has said, “BTC is arguably being undervalued.” It now remains to be seen whether the cryptocurrency’s price will eventually close the gap to the others. In some other news, BTC is trading between two key on-chain price levels right now, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post. The levels in question are part of the Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, which maps out various Bitcoin price levels according to the percentage of the supply that will be in profit if BTC were to trade at them. Bitcoin broke above the 0.95 quantile during its rally to the new all-time high (ATH), meaning more than 95% of the supply entered into a state of unrealized gain. With the drawdown that the coin has faced since then, its price has slipped not just under this level, but also the 0.85 quantile, corresponding to supply profitability of 85%. Related Reading: XRP To $10? Analyst Reveals What Could Be The Spark This level, currently situated at $108,500, could act as a barrier preventing upward breaks. In the down direction, the 0.75 quantile is present as a cushion around $100,600. “These levels have historically acted as support and resistance, with a break of either likely to define the next directional trend,” explained Glassnode. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $105,000, up 2.5% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin “Arguably Undervalued,” Says Analytics Firm: Here’s Why

2025/11/13 12:00

On-chain analytics firm Santiment has explained how Bitcoin could currently be undervalued based on its 4-year correlation to Gold and S&P 500.

Bitcoin Has Underperformed Against Gold & S&P 500 Recently

In a new post on X, Santiment has discussed about BTC’s recent trend relative to Gold and S&P 500. Historically, the cryptocurrency has shown some degree of correlation to these assets, but the pattern has shifted lately.

Any two given assets are said to be “correlated” when one of them reacts to movements in the other by showing volatility of its own. As the chart shared by Santiment shows, Bitcoin has diverged from the traditional assets during the last few months.

Bitcoin Correlation To Gold, S&P 500

From the graph, it’s visible that Bitcoin has overall gone down 15% since August 11th. In the same window, the S&P 500 and Gold are up 7% and 21%, respectively. Gold has been the clear winner, but the S&P 500 has also at least managed a profit.

The same is clearly not true for the number one cryptocurrency, which has gone the opposite way. The different trajectories of the assets would imply that they are no longer correlated or only have a negative correlation.

Based on the fact that Bitcoin has shown tight correlation to the two over the last four years, however, the analytics firm has said, “BTC is arguably being undervalued.” It now remains to be seen whether the cryptocurrency’s price will eventually close the gap to the others.

In some other news, BTC is trading between two key on-chain price levels right now, as on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has pointed out in an X post.

Bitcoin Cost Basis Quantiles

The levels in question are part of the Supply Quantiles Cost Basis Model, which maps out various Bitcoin price levels according to the percentage of the supply that will be in profit if BTC were to trade at them.

Bitcoin broke above the 0.95 quantile during its rally to the new all-time high (ATH), meaning more than 95% of the supply entered into a state of unrealized gain. With the drawdown that the coin has faced since then, its price has slipped not just under this level, but also the 0.85 quantile, corresponding to supply profitability of 85%.

This level, currently situated at $108,500, could act as a barrier preventing upward breaks. In the down direction, the 0.75 quantile is present as a cushion around $100,600. “These levels have historically acted as support and resistance, with a break of either likely to define the next directional trend,” explained Glassnode.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $105,000, up 2.5% over the last seven days.

Bitcoin Price Chart
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The "blockchain revolution" in banking: Tokenized deposits become a new battleground in global finance.

The "blockchain revolution" in banking: Tokenized deposits become a new battleground in global finance.

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Hong Kong: Regulatory Ambitions to Build a "Multi-Tier Currency" Framework In late October, Eddie Yue, Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, wrote an article in The Hong Kong Economic Journal entitled “Paving the Way for Hong Kong’s Digital Economy”, announcing that Hong Kong will establish a multi-tiered digital currency system encompassing the Central Bank Digital Hong Kong Dollar (CBDC), tokenized deposits, and regulated stablecoins. This framework reflects Hong Kong's institutional thinking: At the central bank level: strengthen sovereign currency control through the digital Hong Kong dollar; At the commercial bank level: using tokenized deposits to handle enterprise-level payments and clearing; Market level: Allow stablecoins to circulate within the Web3 ecosystem. Hong Kong is not betting on any particular form of digital currency, but rather building a multi-layered, coexisting, and complementary monetary ecosystem that allows innovation and regulation, efficiency and security to coexist harmoniously. Britain: A Realist Approach to Institutionalized Experimentation In September of this year, six major banks, including HSBC, Barclays, and Lloyds, jointly launched a pilot program for tokenizing the British pound, which is expected to last until mid-2026. The pilot program covers not only cross-border payments but also mortgage processes and digital asset settlements. Bank of England Governor Bailey once pointed out: "The significance of tokenization lies not in creating new risks, but in making the old system more efficient." This statement reveals the core of the UK's strategy—establishment first, then approval. Before stablecoin regulation is finalized, the UK has chosen to conduct a controlled experiment with "tokenized deposits," trading regulatory tolerance for innovative foresight. Japan: A Pragmatic Shift Beneath a Conservative Exterior Japan has always been cautious, but it is quietly making progress. SBI's Shinsei Bank is testing cross-border settlements using tokenized deposits to reduce the cost and delays of foreign exchange clearing within the Asian region. Compared to the slow progress of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), tokenized deposits offer Japan a more realistic middle ground: remaining within the regulatory framework while simultaneously improving efficiency. This aligns with the consistent logic of Japanese monetary policy—to achieve a structural shift while maintaining a "prudent" approach. Sovereignty, efficiency, and overall situation From a global perspective, tokenized deposits are not merely a technological experiment, but a race for monetary sovereignty and institutional modernization. Stablecoins have enabled the US dollar to achieve de facto global expansion on the blockchain, but at the same time, they have weakened central banks' control over the digital form of their currencies. Tokenized deposits offer another possibility: reshaping settlement efficiency and liquidity order, with institutions as boundaries and blockchain as the underlying technology, without relinquishing sovereignty. The future monetary system may present a three-tiered structure: Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC): Sovereignty and Settlement; Banking layer (tokenized deposits): Payments and credit; Market Layer (Stablecoins and RWA): Global Liquidity and Asset Digitization. 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PANews2025/11/13 14:00