XRP Price: Why $1 Billion in ETF Buying Hasn’t Pushed Token Above $2

TLDR

• XRP trades near $1.90-$1.95 but remains below key moving averages, with price action showing a corrective phase rather than recovery
• XRP spot ETFs have recorded 25 consecutive days of inflows totaling $1.07 billion, but weekly inflows dropped to $82 million, the lowest since November launch
• Price structure shows bearish momentum with failed attempts to reclaim $2 level despite steady ETF buying
• Technical charts indicate support at $1.88 with downside risk toward $1.70s if that level breaks
• ETF buying removes XRP from circulation gradually but does not prevent short-term volatility or offset selling pressure from large holders

XRP continues to trade in the $1.90-$1.95 range on Monday as the token faces technical pressure despite ongoing institutional demand. Price action shows the market remains in a corrective phase, with rallies consistently failing before gaining real traction.

The token trades below its 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day exponential moving averages. These indicators are stacked in a bearish pattern and sloping lower. This setup confirms that momentum remains against buyers rather than building support for an upward move.

The October breakdown marked a turning point for XRP. Price fell sharply from its earlier range and dropped below the 200-day EMA. This move invalidated what had been a long-term bullish structure. Since then, rebounds have repeatedly stopped at descending resistance levels.

Daily candles show limited follow-through on positive sessions. Many green days close near their session lows, suggesting demand remains weak. The Relative Strength Index sits in the low-40s, reflecting subdued buying interest. The indicator has failed to reclaim the 50 level, which typically separates corrective bounces from trend recoveries.

ETF Buying Continues But Momentum Slows

XRP spot ETFs in the United States have recorded 25 straight days of net inflows. Total inflows now stand at approximately $1.07 billion since the products launched in November. Five XRP spot ETFs have received approval, compared to 11 Bitcoin spot ETFs.

However, weekly inflows dropped to $82.04 million for the period between December 15 and December 19. This represents the lowest weekly intake since the ETFs began trading. By comparison, Bitcoin spot ETFs attracted roughly $4.85 billion during their first 25 trading days.

ETF buying does remove XRP from active trading over time. Fund managers source tokens through institutional market makers, who acquire them from exchanges and other liquidity providers. This process reduces available supply gradually.

But steady fund accumulation does not eliminate short-term price swings. Large holders selling into rising liquidity can temporarily offset ETF purchases. This dynamic helps explain why price has struggled to break above $2 despite consistent inflows.

One analyst projects that with seven trading days left in 2025, ETFs could add roughly 84 million XRP to holdings if they maintain an average daily intake of 12 million tokens. That would bring total ETF assets close to 800 million XRP just six weeks after launch.

Key Price Levels In Focus

Spot flow data shows persistent net outflows from exchanges in recent weeks. This pattern points to distribution rather than accumulation. While the latest data shows a marginal positive netflow, it remains an outlier within a broader negative trend.

On shorter timeframes, XRP has formed a narrow consolidation above the $1.88-$1.90 area. Supertrend indicators provide short-term support near $1.90. However, upside attempts toward $1.94-$1.95 have repeatedly failed, showing a lack of buying conviction.

Immediate support sits near $1.88. A sustained break below that zone would open downside risk toward the mid-$1.70s, where prior demand appeared earlier in the year. On the upside, the $2-$2.05 region represents the first meaningful resistance level.

A daily close above $2 would be required to signal that XRP is moving from consolidation into recovery. Until key resistance levels are recovered, the technical structure suggests rallies may offer opportunities for sellers rather than buyers.

Price remains below $2 as of the latest trading session.

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